Let's look into some mispriced betting lines for this weekend's UFC Vegas 75 event and see which fighters are overvalued and which are undervalued heading into Saturday's ESPN event.
UFC Vegas 75, also dubbed UFC Fight Night: Vettorri vs. Cannonier, is back at the UFC Apex facility in Las Vegas. Following prelims on ESPN2 (7 p.m. ET), the UFC Vegas 75 main card airs live on ESPN (10 p.m. ET).
One of the first “aha!” moments I had in gambling (generally, not just MMA) was to start thinking about why markets might be wrong, rather than just trying to predict what I think will happen.
At its core, that's what a betting line is: a market where we can “buy” or “sell” events happening. For the most part , these markets are efficient, with the “price” eventually reflecting the true odds of the event.