Manchester City are 90 minutes away from completing an illustrious treble. Saturday's opponents, Inter, are one of four clubs to achieve this feat, doing so with Jose Mourinho as head coach in 2010. Will they halt City in Istanbul? Check out our Manchester City vs. Inter Milan picks based on the best Champions League odds.
City wrapped up their third Premier League title in a row with games to spare and were afforded the luxury of resting players ahead of last weekend's FA Cup final against Manchester United. They beat their local rivals 2-1 and head to Turkey to fulfil their destiny. Pep Guardiola knows his legacy at the club will be determined on whether he can win European football's ultimate prize. His team is unbeaten in this season's Champions League competition.
Inter will be no pushovers and have kept 12 clean sheets in the tournament this season. Will they cause a shock on Saturday?
Here is our best Manchester City vs. Inter Milan Champions League final pick (odds via PointsBet; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Manchester City vs. Inter Milan pick
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This is the first ever meeting between Manchester City and Inter Milan. It's also the first time the first competitive meeting between two sides has been in a Champions League final since Liverpool faced AC Milan in 2005, also played at the Ataturk Olympic Stadium in Istanbul. It was the English side that won the trophy on that occasion after completing one of the greatest comebacks in history.
English teams are 2-2 against Italian opposition in finals of this competition. On each occasion it's been Liverpool as the English representatives. Both City and Inter have made the final once before. City lost to Chelsea in 2021, while Inter bea t Bayern Munich in 2010. Guardiola has a 2-1 record in Champions League finals.
No side has scored more goals than City in this season's competition. Their 31 Champions League goals are five more than any other team. However, Inter lead all teams in tackles, balls recovered, saves, and clean sheets. Even with Erling Haaland, Kevin De Bruyne, Jack Grealish, and Ilkay Gundogan in City's ranks, expect this game to be tight.
Haaland has scored 12 Champions League goals this season for Manchester City. He's failed to score in his last two appearances in the competition, never going three consecutive games without a goal.
There will be lots of focus on Haaland, who was shut out against United in the FA Cup final last week. But European finals are tight affairs. It's been five years since we've had more than two goals scored in the showpiece. The last three have ended 1 -0.
Inter are the epitome of an Italian defense. They've kept eight clean sheets in 12 Champions League matches this season, including five in six games in the knockout stages. A clean sheet in the final will equal the tournament record for most in the knockout rounds.
The Inter goalkeeper, Andre Onana, has prevented the most goals of any keeper in the Champions League this term (nine conceded from 16.8 xG on target). He could equal the record for most clean sheets by a goalkeeper in a single UEFA Champions League campaign (currently on eight), last achieved by Edouard Mendy in 2020-21 (9).
Expect Inter to defend in numbers and frustrate City. With Romelu Lukaku and Lautaro Martinez, they will threaten Manchester City on the counter. It's going to be tense, it's going to be tight, and I think the Under is excellent value.
Manchester City vs. Inter Milan best odds
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | PointsBet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals |
| +110 | +114 | +105 | +105 | +115 |
Manchester City are the favorites, with the best price at -210 via DraftKings. You can get Inter as high as +600 via PointsBet.
Simone Inzaghi has a 100% record as head coach in cup finals with Lazio and Inter. Although Guardiola is 2-1 as a manager in Champions League finals, he hasn't won one without Messi. He knows he's being judged on whether he can win the competition with the current Premier League champions, so how will he handle the pressure?
Odds for City to win by one goal are +225 via DraftKings. For them to win by two goals is +285 with the same sportsbook.
Haaland is -140 as an anytime scorer. City's in-form goal scorer, Ilkay Gundogan, who netted twice in last week's FA Cup final, is a huge +350 to score in this match.
Manchester City vs. Inter M ilan game info
- Date: Saturday, June 10, 3 p.m. ET
- TV: CBS, CBS Sports Network
- Location: Ataturk Olympic Stadium, Istanbul, Turkey
- Weather: 70 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, 5-mph winds
Man City-Inter Milan pick made 6/8/2023 at 4:30 p.m. ET.
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