Check out my same game parlay for Kraken vs. Stars Game 7 (8 p.m. ET, ESPN), including picks for Jared McCann, Roope Hintz and the total.
Same Game Parlay: Kraken vs. Stars
The Parlay (+375 at bet365)
- Game Total Under 6.5
- Roope Hintz Over 2.5 Shots on Goal
- Jared McCann Over 2.5 Shots on Goal
Through the opening six matchups, this series has been more high scoring than anybody would have expected. Over bets have cruised to a 6-0 record, and the series has averaged 8.16 goals per game.That leads us to a standard betting total of six in Game 7.The hig h scoring nature of this series is noteworthy, but that's being accounted for with a total of six. Entering this matchup, many might have even predicted a Game 7 to have a total of five, as opposed to 5.5.Since 2005, Game 7s have gone 40-26-9 to the under with a 11.2% ROI.There's some logical causation towards that trend. NHL players and coaches are geared towards thinking conservatively. The top concern in these crucial do-or-die matchups is always to play with a strong defensive structure and avoid mistakes.Goals in the NHL come more often from team breakdowns in front of the goal, as opposed to being from offensive players coming through with a moment of brilliance.Those defensive miscues tend to dry up in Game 7s. There likely won't be much in the way of odd-man rushes in tonight's matchup, and I wouldn't count on many powerplays, either.One of the greatest reasons for the high scoring in this series has been the middling play of Stars netminder Jake Oettinge r. Oettinger rates as one of the best goalies in the league, yet has been a letdown at times. By no means did Dallas insulate him well in Game 6, either.It's logical to think he can bring a better performance in Game 7 tonight and that Dallas can offer him better defensive play.Seattle was sharp defensively in its 2-1 win over Colorado in Game 7 of the first round. It's fair to believe in the Kraken bringing a sharp effort tonight, and I expect that to mean a limited amount of high-quality looks for the Stars.Moving the number to 6.5 lets us win even if the game ends with a 4-2 final, and as a result, I believe this is a safe way to kick off our parlay.
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