Rays vs Yankees Prediction Today | MLB Odds, Picks for Thursday, May 11
Rays vs Yankees Prediction Today | MLB Odds, Picks for Thursday, May 11

Rays vs. Yankees Odds

Thursday, May 117:05 p.m. ETMLB Network

Rays Odds
Moneyline Total Run Line
-110 8.5-110 / -110 -1.5+146
Yankees Odds
Moneyline Total Run Line
-106 8.5-110 / -110 +1.5-178

Odds via'FanDuel.'Get up-to-the-minute'MLB odds here.Check out our'MLB Betting Hub'for more previews from today's slate of games.

The New York Yankees will look to hang a rare series loss on the Tampa Bay Rays, who have put up a record of 29-9, when the AL East rivals begin a series on Thursday evening in the Bronx.The Rays claimed a series victory last week at the Trop in the latest installment of a very compelling rivalry between these two sides.Tampa will send Drew Rasmussen to the mound Thursday, and he has pitched to a 3.11 ERA in 37 2/3 innings.New York will start Domingo German, who owns a 4.35 ERA throughout 33 2/3 innings.


Tampa's 29-9 record and +115 run differential are still hard to believe. They have come down to earth with a 6-4 mark over the last 10, which does not seem entirely surprising.The Rays have hit to a ridiculous 141 wRC+, and .367 wOBA. Their xwOBA is 12 points below that mark at .353. So essentially, even if the Rays continue to bat at the incredible level we have seen early on, they still are due for regression. There is also a valid argument that perhaps some pieces of the order will not sustain this level of dominance.Rasmussen has been very solid to start the campaign with a 3.04 xERA, and 3.33 xFIP through 37 2/3 innings. His five-pitch mix has been effective. Only his fastball has been hit effectively, as batters own a .426 xSLG versus his four-seamer. His cutter owns an xSLG of .312, and batters essentially are not touching his off-speed stuff.Right-handed batters are slugging .337 against Rasmussen, while left-handed batters have slugged .316. Since the start of the 2021 season, left-handed batters have slugged just .285 versus Rasmussen.In 2022, righties slugged .399, and have continued to fare much better.In a surprising turn of events, the Rays' bullpen could actually prove to be relatively middling this season. They have pitched to a 4.68 xFIP, which is the fourth-worst mark in the league and suggests significant regression is on the horizon.
  
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