The Kansas City Royals (+225) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-275) on Friday, April 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).
The Royals vs Twins Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Royals are 6-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 15-11 ATS.
Royals vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Royals vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 13 away games (+6.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+6.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- Edward Olivares has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+6.05 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.80 Units / 42% ROI)
Twins vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Byron Buxton | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Twins vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Byron Buxton | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Trevor Larnach | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Jorge Polanco | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Twins vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Byron Buxton | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Twins vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Pablo Lopez | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
Jordan Lyles | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.85 Units / 25% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 86% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games (+4.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.70 Units / 47% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 9-17 against the Run Line (-11.2 Units / -34.51% ROI).
- 6-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.75 Units / -44.93% ROI
- 12-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -4.84% ROI
- 12-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -4.24% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 15-11 against the Run Line (+4.5 Units / 14.49% ROI).
- 15-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 1.73% ROI
- 10-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.25 Units / -14.76% ROI
- 13-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 7.01% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 12% (13/104) against Jordan Lyles this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (34/214) against Jordan Lyles this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Jordan Lyles allowed a slugging percentage of .417 (151 Total Bases / 362 ABs) with two-strikes in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (20/150) against Jordan Lyles in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of 44% (53/121) against Pablo Lopez on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 98th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has a strikeout rate of 42% (13 SO in 31 PAs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 37% (34/91) against Pablo Lopez this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.