The Houston Astros (+125) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-150) on Monday, April 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg.

The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Astros vs Rays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Astros are 12-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 16-6 ATS.

Astros vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 71.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Mauricio Dubon has hit the Singles Over in his last 17 games (+17.10 Units / 70% ROI)
• Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+13.20 Units / 102% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+11.65 Units / 55% ROI)
• Mauricio Dubon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.30 Units / 53% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+10.15 Units / 47% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+11.85 Units / 26% ROI)
• Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+10.60 Units / 88% ROI)
• Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.60 Units / 73% ROI)
• Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+9.25 Units / 116% ROI)
• Harold Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.35 Units / 104% ROI)

Rays vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.35 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.00 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.50 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.55 Units / 53% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.50 Units / 49% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 22 games (+15.20 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games (+12.25 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.85 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 22 games (+10.90 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.40 Units / 32% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 13-9 against the Run Line (+2.85 Units / 9.41% ROI).

• 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.5 Units / -13.39% ROI
• 14-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.35 Units / 26.19% ROI
• 7-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.25 Units / -34.16% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 16-6 against the Run Line (+10.9 Units / 42.25% ROI).

• 19-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.2 Units / 35.81% ROI
• 12-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.25 Units / 17.67% ROI
• 7-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.5 Units / -26.69% ROI

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Urquidy has a strike rate of 69% (929/1,344) vs left-handed batters since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.

Jose Urquidy has thrown elevated pitches 38% of the time (361/940) with two-strikes since last season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 90th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .310 (13-for-42) against Jose Urquidy when ahead in the count this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .199 — third Percentile.

Jose Urquidy has allowed a slugging percentage of .603 (70 Total Bases / 116 ABs) on fastballs away since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .373 — second Percentile.

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Taj Bradley has a strikeout rate of 42% (17 SO in 40 PAs) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .571 (4 GB hits out of 7 GBs) against Taj Bradley this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .241 — first Percentile.

Taj Bradley has allowed an OPS of just .513 (40 PA’s) this season — 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .739 — 93rd Percentile.

  
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