The Houston Astros (+110) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-135) on Sunday, April 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:30pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Astros vs Braves Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Astros are 11-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 9-12 ATS.
Astros vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Astros vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 58.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Singles Over in his last 16 games (+16.10 Units / 71% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+12.15 Units / 101% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+11.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.40 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Sean Murphy has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.10 Units / 59% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+8.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- Vaughn Grissom has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Sean Murphy has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 15 games (+7.25 Units / 48% ROI)
Braves vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Sam Hilliard | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Braves vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Sam Hilliard | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
Braves vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Sam Hilliard | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Braves vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Fried | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
| Cristian Javier | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -130 |
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.35 Units / 41% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+8.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.10 Units / 57% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 12-9 against the Run Line (+1.85 Units / 6.49% ROI).
- 11-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -17.33% ROI
- 14-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.4 Units / 31.9% ROI
- 6-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.25 Units / -40.22% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 9-12 against the Run Line (-3.05 Units / -12.37% ROI).
- 14-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 15.45% ROI
- 12-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.3 Units / 14.41% ROI
- 8-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.4 Units / -23.18% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cristian Javier has struck out 38% (115/301) of right-handed batters he faced since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Cristian Javier has thrown elevated pitches 61% of the time (126/206) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Cristian Javier has thrown elevated pitches 56% of the time (51/91) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Cristian Javier has allowed 7 stolen bases this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Fried has allowed an OBP of just .167 (384 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .222 — 100th Percentile.
Max Fried has allowed an OPS of just .353 (384 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .465 — 97th Percentile.
Max Fried has located his fastball inside 67% of the time (35/52) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.