Cardinals vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 23
Cardinals vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 23

The St. Louis Cardinals (-110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-110) on Sunday, April 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.

The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Cardinals vs Mariners Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Cardinals are 8-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 9-12 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cardinals vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 79.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 away games (+6.15 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Taylor Motter has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 50% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ty France has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+11.15 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Kolten Wong has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.50 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.45 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Kolten Wong has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.35 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 51% ROI)

Mariners vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Nolan Gorman 0.5 +290 0.5 -450
Tommy La Stella 0.5 +675 0.5 -2500
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000

Mariners vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 -200 0.5 +155
Nolan Gorman 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
Tommy La Stella 0.5 -140 0.5 +105
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -135 0.5 +100

Mariners vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Nolan Gorman 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Tommy La Stella 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +250 0.5 -350

Mariners vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Flexen 3.5 -130 3.5 +100
Jack Flaherty 5.5 +120 5.5 -155

  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.10 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.20 Units / 3% ROI)

  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.15 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+2.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+2.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+2.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.05 Units / 13% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 9-12 against the Run Line (-4.9 Units / -18.77% ROI).

  • 8-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.55 Units / -31.89% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.05 Units / -13.38% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 3.62% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 9-12 against the Run Line (-3.35 Units / -12.84% ROI).

  • 10-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -13.47% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 4.27% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.1 Units / -13.54% ROI

Jack Flaherty has walked 17 of 87 batters (20%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Jack Flaherty has walked 9 of 39 right-handed batters (23%) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 77% (17/22) against Jack Flaherty in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Jack Flaherty has a strike rate of just 57% (208/364) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 49% (17/35) against Chris Flexen when he’s behind in the count this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Chris Flexen has located his fastball away 65% of the time (84/130) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .471 (8-for-17) against Chris Flexen’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .246 — second Percentile.

  
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