The Colorado Rockies (+240) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-300) on Sunday, April 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 12:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.

The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Rockies vs Phillies Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Rockies are 6-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 8-14 ATS.

Rockies vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rockies vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 75.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.10 Units / 43% ROI)
• Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.55 Units / 44% ROI)
• Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.40 Units / 90% ROI)
• Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games (+9.40 Units / 66% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.10 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+13.95 Units / 64% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.25 Units / 50% ROI)
• Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+9.90 Units / 99% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.35 Units / 41% ROI)
• Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.65 Units / 30% ROI)

Phillies vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rockies Best Bets Today:

• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.10 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.00 Units / 66% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.35 Units / 86% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.60 Units / 67% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.00 Units / 62% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.45 Units / 92% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 91% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+1.80 Units / 15% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 7-15 against the Run Line (-8.4 Units / -35% ROI).

• 6-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.6 Units / -35.46% ROI
• 10-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -13.8% ROI
• 12-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.55 Units / 6.6% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 8-14 against the Run Line (-10.85 Units / -35.99% ROI).

• 10-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.85 Units / -18.14% ROI
• 10-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.2 Units / -13.11% ROI
• 12-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.25 Units / 5.2% ROI

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Urena has allowed a slugging percentage of .833 (55 Total Bases / 66 ABs) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .417 — 0 Percentile.

Jose Urena has allowed an OBP of .417 (278 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .303 — first Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .344 (84-for-244) against Jose Urena since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .235 — first Percentile.

Jose Urena has allowed a slugging percentage of .875 (21 Total Bases / 24 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .320 — 0 Percentile.

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 53% (20/38) against Zack Wheeler when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has a strike rate of just 54% when ahead in the count (ninth lowest)– 11th Percentile and 76% when behind in the count this season (tied for ninth highest among qualified SPs)– 89th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 44% (11/25) against Zack Wheeler on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.

  
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