The Colorado Rockies (+240) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-300) on Sunday, April 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 12:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-105).
The Rockies vs Phillies Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 6-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 8-14 ATS.
Rockies vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Rockies vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 75.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.10 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.40 Units / 90% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games (+9.40 Units / 66% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.10 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+13.95 Units / 64% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.25 Units / 50% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+9.90 Units / 99% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.65 Units / 30% ROI)
Phillies vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
C.J. Cron | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Phillies vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
C.J. Cron | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Phillies vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
C.J. Cron | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Phillies vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Zack Wheeler | 6.5 -145 | 6.5 +110 |
Jose Urena | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -115 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.10 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.35 Units / 86% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.60 Units / 67% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.45 Units / 92% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+1.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 7-15 against the Run Line (-8.4 Units / -35% ROI).
- 6-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.6 Units / -35.46% ROI
- 10-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -13.8% ROI
- 12-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.55 Units / 6.6% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 8-14 against the Run Line (-10.85 Units / -35.99% ROI).
- 10-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.85 Units / -18.14% ROI
- 10-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.2 Units / -13.11% ROI
- 12-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.25 Units / 5.2% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Urena has allowed a slugging percentage of .833 (55 Total Bases / 66 ABs) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .417 — 0 Percentile.
Jose Urena has allowed an OBP of .417 (278 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .303 — first Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .344 (84-for-244) against Jose Urena since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .235 — first Percentile.
Jose Urena has allowed a slugging percentage of .875 (21 Total Bases / 24 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .320 — 0 Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 53% (20/38) against Zack Wheeler when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has a strike rate of just 54% when ahead in the count (ninth lowest)– 11th Percentile and 76% when behind in the count this season (tied for ninth highest among qualified SPs)– 89th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 44% (11/25) against Zack Wheeler on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.