The Boston Red Sox (+105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-125) on Saturday, April 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Red Sox vs Brewers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Red Sox are 11-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 13-7 ATS.

Red Sox vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Rafael Devers has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.75 Units / 54% ROI)
• Triston Casas has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.35 Units / 31% ROI)
• Enrique Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 61% ROI)
• Enrique Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 54% ROI)
• Alex Verdugo has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+7.65 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Brice Turang has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.90 Units / 52% ROI)
• Rowdy Tellez has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+7.80 Units / 130% ROI)
• Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.75 Units / 47% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.40 Units / 104% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 53% ROI)

Brewers vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.30 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.20 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.65 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.50 Units / 53% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.20 Units / 35% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+10.65 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.35 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+5.50 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.25 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.35 Units / 22% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 11-10 against the Run Line (+1.05 Units / 4.09% ROI).

• 11-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -0.99% ROI
• 14-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.2 Units / 26.78% ROI
• 7-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.65 Units / -37.2% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 13-7 against the Run Line (+6.35 Units / 24.9% ROI).

• 14-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.25 Units / 39.19% ROI
• 9-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.55 Units / -15.78% ROI
• 11-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.2 Units / 5.57% ROI

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Garrett Whitlock has induced opposing hitters to ground into 2 double plays in 5 opportunities (40%) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.

Garrett Whitlock has walked 34 of 653 batters (5%) since the 2021 season — 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — 94th Percentile.

Garrett Whitlock has allowed an OBP of just .257 (152 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since the 2021 season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .333 — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% (26/67) against Garrett Whitlock’s changeup since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 51% — sixth Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Wade Miley has located his fastball inside 58% of the time (353/613) since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 99th Percentile.

Wade Miley has thrown his changeup 42% of the time (79/190) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total CH; League Avg: 14% — 99th Percentile.

Wade Miley has thrown his cutter 60% of the time (556/922) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total CUT; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

  
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