The Houston Astros (-115) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-105) on Saturday, April 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.

The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Astros vs Braves Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Astros are 10-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 9-11 ATS.

Astros vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Mauricio Dubon has hit the Singles Over in his last 15 games (+15.10 Units / 73% ROI)
• Mauricio Dubon has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.65 Units / 40% ROI)
• Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 100% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+9.50 Units / 49% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+9.10 Units / 48% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Sean Murphy has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.10 Units / 59% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 17 games (+8.25 Units / 49% ROI)
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+7.90 Units / 28% ROI)
• Eddie Rosario has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.30 Units / 41% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+7.10 Units / 32% ROI)

Braves vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.40 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.40 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+4.00 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 39% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.45 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.20 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.30 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.00 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 48% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 11-9 against the Run Line (+0.25 Units / 0.91% ROI).

• 10-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -21.04% ROI
• 13-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.4 Units / 28.89% ROI
• 6-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.1 Units / -37.07% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 9-11 against the Run Line (-1.25 Units / -5.47% ROI).

• 14-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.3 Units / 19.81% ROI
• 11-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.3 Units / 10.53% ROI
• 8-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.25 Units / -19.19% ROI

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (417/622) against Framber Valdez since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (45/67) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (116/622) against Framber Valdez since last season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (133/197) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 63% (161/255) against Kyle Wright since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.

Kyle Wright has thrown his curveball 51% of the time (87/170) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (293/526) against Kyle Wright since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 95th Percentile.

  
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