Tigers vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 22
Tigers vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 22

The Detroit Tigers (+150) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-185) on Saturday, April 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Tigers vs Orioles Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Tigers are 7-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 10-9 ATS.

Tigers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+8.95 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Matt Vierling has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.65 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.05 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.05 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.25 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Cedric Mullins has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.15 Units / 30% ROI)

Orioles vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 +375 0.5 -650
Eric Haase 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Javier Baez 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Riley Greene 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000

Orioles vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Ryan Mountcastle 1.5 +190 1.5 -250
Eric Haase 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Javier Baez 1.5 +200 1.5 -275
Riley Greene 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Orioles vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Eric Haase 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Javier Baez 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Riley Greene 0.5 +220 0.5 -300

Orioles vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Joey Wentz 4.5 +120 4.5 -155
Kyle Gibson 4.5 -125 4.5 -105

  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in their last 8 games (+8.25 Units / 81% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.50 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.25 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.90 Units / 45% ROI)

  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games (+1.45 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.35 Units / 5% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 10-8 against the Run Line (+0.45 Units / 2.03% ROI).

  • 7-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 1.11% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -3.78% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.8 Units / -4.04% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 10-9 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -2.81% ROI).

  • 12-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.55 Units / 17.84% ROI
  • 11-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.35 Units / 15.73% ROI
  • 7-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.65 Units / -22.46% ROI

Joey Wentz has a strike rate of just 55% (30/55) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 64% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 29% (14/49) against Joey Wentz with two-strikes this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 40% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents had a chase percentage of just 29% (14/49) against Joey Wentz with two-strikes over the last 30 days of the regular season (3 games) — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 40% — fifth Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Gibson has allowed an OPS of .862 (43 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .504 — third Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 7% (5/69) against Kyle Gibson this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (30/159) against Kyle Gibson this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 10th Percentile.

  
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