The New York Mets (+105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-130) on Saturday, April 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Francisco.

The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Mets vs Giants Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Mets are 14-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 7-12 ATS.

Mets vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 62.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.20 Units / 66% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 48% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 47% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.10 Units / 29% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Thairo Estrada has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.75 Units / 42% ROI)
• David Villar has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 46% ROI)
• Joc Pederson has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.40 Units / 93% ROI)
• Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.15 Units / 26% ROI)
• Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+6.90 Units / 49% ROI)

Giants vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Giants vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Giants vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Giants vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.40 Units / 37% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games (+6.80 Units / 26% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.60 Units / 26% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.55 Units / 21% ROI)

Giants Best Bets Today:

• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.05 Units / 29% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 51% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.75 Units / 26% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.45 Units / 4% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 13-8 against the Run Line (+6.8 Units / 26.46% ROI).

• 14-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.75 Units / 20.35% ROI
• 9-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.3 Units / -18.45% ROI
• 12-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.2 Units / 9.61% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 7-12 against the Run Line (-7.9 Units / -29.15% ROI).

• 6-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.15 Units / -40.58% ROI
• 10-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI
• 9-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -2 Units / -9.55% ROI

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

David Peterson has a strike rate of just 60% (1,038/1,743) against right-handed batters since last season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .429 (12-for-28) against David Peterson on sliders this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .215 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .452 (14-for-31) against David Peterson’s curve and slider this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — first Percentile.

David Peterson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 53% (231/439) of opposing batters since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Logan Webb allowed a batting average of just .172 vs right-handed batters (10th best)– 86th Percentile and .400 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (third worst among qualified SPs)– fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (363/632) against Logan Webb since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.

Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 64% of the time (1,059/1,659) vs left-handed batters since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 96th Percentile.

  
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