The Washington Nationals (+250) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-300) on Saturday, April 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).

The Nationals vs Twins Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

This season, the Nationals are 6-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 11-9 ATS.

Nationals vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.15 Units / 33% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.20 Units / 24% ROI)
• Dominic Smith has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.25 Units / 62% ROI)
• Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+4.90 Units / 23% ROI)
• Dominic Smith has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.85 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.65 Units / 44% ROI)
• Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.60 Units / 58% ROI)
• Trevor Larnach has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+7.55 Units / 35% ROI)
• Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+7.50 Units / 23% ROI)
• Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.30 Units / 62% ROI)

Twins vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.95 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.85 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+3.70 Units / 53% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.50 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.05 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.55 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 20 games (+1.80 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.00 Units / 8% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 11-8 against the Run Line (+2.85 Units / 12.72% ROI).

• 6-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -15% ROI
• 8-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -8.15% ROI
• 9-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 2.14% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 11-9 against the Run Line (+1.8 Units / 7.42% ROI).

• 11-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 3.5% ROI
• 7-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.1 Units / -22.97% ROI
• 11-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.3 Units / 15.07% ROI

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Chad Kuhl has an ERA of 7.88 (64.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 3.90 — first Percentile.

Chad Kuhl has allowed a slugging percentage of .560 (223 Total Bases / 398 ABs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .386 — first Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 35 of Chad Kuhl’s 266 elevated fastballs out of the zone (13%) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 0 Percentile.

Chad Kuhl has located his fastball up for a strike just 47% (319/676) of the time since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 0 Percentile.

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 35% (18/51) against Pablo Lopez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 40% (29/72) against Pablo Lopez this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 47% (19/40) against Pablo Lopez on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.

  
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