The Cincinnati Reds (+135) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-160) on Saturday, April 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.

The Pirates are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Reds vs Pirates Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Reds are 7-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 13-8 ATS.

Reds vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

• TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.05 Units / 36% ROI)
• Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 54% ROI)
• Jake Fraley has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games (+8.70 Units / 79% ROI)
• TJ Friedl has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 50% ROI)
• Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.50 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.05 Units / 49% ROI)
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+8.35 Units / 86% ROI)
• Connor Joe has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.10 Units / 99% ROI)
• Carlos Santana has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+7.95 Units / 26% ROI)
• Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.95 Units / 34% ROI)

Pirates vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.45 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 57% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.00 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 50% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 58% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.05 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+7.95 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.75 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.55 Units / 61% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 12-8 against the Run Line (+4.45 Units / 18.28% ROI).

• 7-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -24.59% ROI
• 11-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.35 Units / 6.24% ROI
• 9-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.2 Units / -14.32% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 13-8 against the Run Line (+3.25 Units / 11.44% ROI).

• 14-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.75 Units / 46.84% ROI
• 9-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.8 Units / -12.2% ROI
• 11-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.35 Units / 5.81% ROI

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Luis Cessa has a strikeout rate of just 4% (3 SO in 70 PAs) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .417 (25-for-60) against Luis Cessa this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 0 Percentile.

Luis Cessa has an ERA of 13.50 (12.0 IP)this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 4.42 — 0 Percentile.

Luis Cessa has allowed an OBP of .486 (70 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .321 — 0 Percentile.

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

4 of Rich Hill’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 3rd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 96th Percentile.

Rich Hill has an average fastball velocity of just 86.7 MPH this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 93.5 — first Percentile.

Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 65% of the time (68/105) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

  
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