The Colorado Rockies (+240) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-300) on Friday, April 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+110).
The Rockies vs Phillies Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 6-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 8-12 ATS.
Rockies vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Rockies vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.10 Units / 48% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.40 Units / 93% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.20 Units / 73% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games (+8.15 Units / 62% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.55 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+14.95 Units / 72% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.70 Units / 61% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+7.70 Units / 96% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.35 Units / 39% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.10 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 58% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.45 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 16 games (+1.35 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+0.50 Units / 3% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 5-15 against the Run Line (-10.75 Units / -49.43% ROI).
- 6-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.6 Units / -29.66% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -6.1% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -2.13% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 8-12 against the Run Line (-8.3 Units / -30.07% ROI).
- 8-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -28.49% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -5.15% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -3.46% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Noah Davis has limited playing time.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Nola has walked 35 of 900 batters (4%) since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has a first-pitch strike rate of 69% (623/905) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has a strike rate of 69% (2,346/3,396) since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 97th Percentile.