The Cincinnati Reds (+120) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-145) on Friday, April 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.

The Pirates are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Reds vs Pirates Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Reds are 7-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 12-8 ATS.

Reds vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.

Bet now on Reds vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM

Get up to $1,000 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+11.85 Units / 62% ROI)
• TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.05 Units / 35% ROI)
• Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.85 Units / 41% ROI)
• Jake Fraley has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.70 Units / 86% ROI)
• TJ Friedl has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.65 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.05 Units / 47% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.75 Units / 20% ROI)
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+7.35 Units / 99% ROI)
• Carlos Santana has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+6.95 Units / 24% ROI)
• Connor Joe has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.85 Units / 96% ROI)

Pirates vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.05 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.75 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.75 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games (+2.00 Units / 10% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 17 games (+11.05 Units / 57% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+10.55 Units / 57% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+7.95 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.75 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.15 Units / 51% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 12-7 against the Run Line (+6.05 Units / 26.59% ROI).

• 7-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.25 Units / -20.88% ROI
• 11-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.5 Units / 12.2% ROI
• 8-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.2 Units / -19.72% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 12-8 against the Run Line (+1.85 Units / 6.75% ROI).

• 13-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.75 Units / 45.45% ROI
• 9-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.65 Units / -7.57% ROI
• 10-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 1.58% ROI

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Graham Ashcraft has allowed an OBP of just .132 (38 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .318 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitless in 19 AB’s against Graham Ashcraft with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — 100th Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft allowed a batting average of .364 vs right-handed batters (fourth worst)– fourth Percentile and just .057 vs left-handed batters this season (best among qualified SPs)– 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (31/51) against Graham Ashcraft this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 9% (2/22) against Mitch Keller on fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (11/66) against Mitch Keller this season — tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 94th Percentile.

Mitch Keller has allowed a slugging percentage of .478 (11 Total Bases / 23 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 10th Percentile.

  
Read Full Article