Dodgers vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 21
Dodgers vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 21

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-185) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+150) on Friday, April 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.

The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Dodgers vs Cubs Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Dodgers are 10-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 12-6 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Dodgers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 63.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+7.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Austin Barnes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.70 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+5.95 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Austin Barnes has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 60% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+12.30 Units / 110% ROI)
  • Patrick Wisdom has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.15 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.20 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.40 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.80 Units / 32% ROI)

Cubs vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +275 0.5 -450
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 +575 0.5 -1600
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Trayce Thompson 0.5 +325 0.5 -550
Patrick Wisdom 0.5 +350 0.5 -650

Cubs vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Miguel Vargas 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Trayce Thompson 0.5 -145 0.5 +110
Patrick Wisdom 0.5 -125 0.5 -105

Cubs vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Trayce Thompson 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Patrick Wisdom 0.5 +190 0.5 -250

Cubs vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Drew Smyly 4.5 -145 4.5 +110

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.95 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)

  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+9.25 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+5.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.75 Units / 45% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 9-11 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -10.18% ROI).

  • 10-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.1 Units / -20.4% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -8.41% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units / 1.36% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 12-6 against the Run Line (+6.6 Units / 29.86% ROI).

  • 11-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.3 Units / 24.88% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -4.79% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units / -4.8% ROI

Julio Urias has walked 3 of 92 batters (3%) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 97th Percentile.

Julio Urias has thrown his curveball 40% of the time (26/65) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.

Julio Urias has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (182/542) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

Julio Urias has a strike rate of 69% (2,055/2,984) since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 95th Percentile.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (23/53) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total CB; League Avg: 11% — 98th Percentile.

Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 53% of the time (39/74) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (898/2,064) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 99th Percentile.

  
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