The Chicago White Sox (+145) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-175) on Friday, April 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The White Sox vs Rays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the White Sox are 7-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 15-4 ATS.
White Sox vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
White Sox vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.10 Units / 60% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+7.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games (+7.15 Units / 93% ROI)
- Yasmani Grandal has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+6.85 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+11.60 Units / 105% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+11.40 Units / 104% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.60 Units / 87% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.60 Units / 55% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+5.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.75 Units / 11% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 19 games (+12.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 19 games (+11.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+9.05 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+9.00 Units / 40% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 8-11 against the Run Line (-4.3 Units / -17.2% ROI).
- 7-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -27.44% ROI
- 11-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.5 Units / 21.63% ROI
- 6-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.15 Units / -29.22% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 15-4 against the Run Line (+11.8 Units / 51.75% ROI).
- 16-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.2 Units / 33.02% ROI
- 11-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.35 Units / 21.07% ROI
- 6-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.4 Units / -30.26% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Kopech has allowed a slugging percentage of .645 (20 Total Bases / 31 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .273 — 0 Percentile.
Michael Kopech has allowed a slugging percentage of .733 (22 Total Bases / 30 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .133 (13-for-98) against Michael Kopech’s inside fastball since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: .259 — 99th Percentile.
Michael Kopech has allowed an OPS of 2.204 (17 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .775 — first Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Calvin Faucher has not struck out any hitters in 15 PA’s vs left-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Calvin Faucher has allowed a slugging percentage of .550 (11 Total Bases / 20 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .233 — fourth Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 10% (3/29) against Calvin Faucher this season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.