The New York Mets (-130) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+110) on Thursday, April 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Mets vs Giants Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mets are 12-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 7-10 ATS.
Mets vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Mets vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 66.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.15 Units / 61% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+7.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+6.90 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.40 Units / 93% ROI)
- David Villar has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+6.70 Units / 56% ROI)
Giants vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
Starling Marte | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Tommy Pham | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Giants vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
Starling Marte | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
Tommy Pham | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Giants vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Starling Marte | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Tommy Pham | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Giants vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Kodai Senga | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
Sean Manaea | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 19 games (+4.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+3.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games (+0.70 Units / 8% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 11-8 against the Run Line (+4.45 Units / 19.52% ROI).
- 12-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units / 14.42% ROI
- 8-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.1 Units / -19.48% ROI
- 11-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.35 Units / 11.33% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 7-10 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -21.79% ROI).
- 6-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.95 Units / -34.15% ROI
- 9-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.3 Units / 1.61% ROI
- 8-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.85 Units / -9.84% ROI
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kodai Senga has a strikeout rate of 61% (14 SO in 23 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Kodai Senga has walked 4 of 16 batters (25%) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 39% (18/46) against Kodai Senga this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 33% (62/189) against Kodai Senga in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 4% (1/22) against Sean Manaea on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Sean Manaea has thrown fastballs up 73% of the time (72/98) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 98th Percentile.
Sean Manaea has elevated his fastball 73% of the time (72/98) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 99th Percentile.