The San Diego Padres (-135) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+110) on Thursday, April 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Padres vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.

This season, the Padres are 9-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 13-6 ATS.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 21 games (+16.85 Units / 37% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.85 Units / 33% ROI)
• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.10 Units / 72% ROI)
• Austin Nola has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 away games (+10.40 Units / 97% ROI)
• Matt Carpenter has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.35 Units / 82% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+10.30 Units / 103% ROI)
• Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.90 Units / 55% ROI)
• Alek Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.40 Units / 45% ROI)
• Pavin Smith has hit the RBIs Over in his last 5 games (+9.00 Units / 180% ROI)
• Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.45 Units / 45% ROI)

Diamondbacks vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.20 Units / 71% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 65% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 30% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.55 Units / 42% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.40 Units / 27% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+8.15 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.90 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.95 Units / 53% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.85 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+3.95 Units / 22% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 9-11 against the Run Line (-4.2 Units / -15.56% ROI).

• 9-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -21.71% ROI
• 9-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.15 Units / -14.25% ROI
• 11-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.1 Units / 5.01% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 13-6 against the Run Line (+6.4 Units / 24.57% ROI).

• 11-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.15 Units / 35.93% ROI
• 10-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.2 Units / 5.71% ROI
• 8-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -13.64% ROI

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael Wacha has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.000 (15 Total Bases / 15 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .440 — first Percentile.

Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 51% of the time (42/82) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (329/680) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Michael Wacha has induced opposing hitters to ground into 1 double play in 4 opportunities (25%) this season — tied for 11th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 93rd Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 12% (9/73) against Ryne Nelson — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 29% — first Percentile.

Ryne Nelson has not walked any of the 40 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

Ryne Nelson has not walked any of the 30 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

  
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