The Milwaukee Brewers (+105) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-130) on Wednesday, April 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.

The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Brewers vs Mariners Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Brewers are 13-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 8-10 ATS.

Brewers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Joey Wiemer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.65 Units / 61% ROI)
• Christian Yelich has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+7.05 Units / 43% ROI)
• Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.75 Units / 44% ROI)
• Joey Wiemer has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.05 Units / 68% ROI)
• Joey Wiemer has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 67% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ty France has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+12.05 Units / 67% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+11.20 Units / 66% ROI)
• Ty France has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.65 Units / 31% ROI)
• Kolten Wong has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.50 Units / 66% ROI)

Mariners vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games (+11.15 Units / 57% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.35 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+5.60 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.25 Units / 62% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+2.95 Units / 15% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.65 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.10 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+3.00 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.75 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.40 Units / 12% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 12-6 against the Run Line (+6.35 Units / 27.85% ROI).

• 13-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.75 Units / 46.54% ROI
• 9-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -5.49% ROI
• 9-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.85 Units / -4.35% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 8-10 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -12.77% ROI).

• 8-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -18.08% ROI
• 10-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 11.75% ROI
• 7-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -20.05% ROI

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Eric Lauer has thrown inside pitches 60% of the time (35/58) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Eric Lauer has allowed a slugging percentage of .812 (13 Total Bases / 16 ABs) versus the bottom of the order this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .379 — third Percentile.

Marco Gonzales has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (1,895/4,396) in non-two strike counts since the 2020 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 96th Percentile.

Marco Gonzales had a strikeout rate of just 13% (103/783) in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 4% (2 SO in 50 PAs) in late innings since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (88/560) against Marco Gonzales since last season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.

Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 29% (109 SO in 377 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.

  
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