Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 19
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 19

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+150) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-185) on Wednesday, April 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:15pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 11-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 7-11 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.30 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+9.15 Units / 102% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.35 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.10 Units / 89% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.20 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Willson Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+7.60 Units / 127% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.45 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 56% ROI)

Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Brendan Donovan 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Taylor Motter 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Tommy Edman 0.5 +425 0.5 -800

Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 1.5 +165 1.5 -225
Brendan Donovan 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Dylan Carlson 1.5 +185 1.5 -250
Taylor Motter 0.5 -145 0.5 +110
Tommy Edman 1.5 +150 1.5 -200

Cardinals vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 0.5 -130 0.5 +100
Brendan Donovan 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Motter 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Tommy Edman 0.5 +155 0.5 -210

Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jake Woodford 2.5 -150 2.5 +115
Madison Bumgarner 3.5 -105 3.5 -125

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+9.15 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+7.10 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.50 Units / 57% ROI)

  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 14 games (+12.70 Units / 78% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.55 Units / 29% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 13-5 against the Run Line (+7.5 Units / 30.06% ROI).

  • 11-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.15 Units / 43.12% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 1.01% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.85 Units / -9.3% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 7-11 against the Run Line (-5.1 Units / -23.5% ROI).

  • 7-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.55 Units / -33.08% ROI
  • 7-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -20.1% ROI
  • 10-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 9.88% ROI

36 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since last season — most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

36 of Madison Bumgarner’s 78 breaking pitch strikeouts (46%) have been backdoor since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 22% (8/36) against Madison Bumgarner on changeups this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 51% — first Percentile.

71 of Madison Bumgarner’s 178 breaking pitch strikeouts (40%) have been backdoor since the 2020 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .357 (15-for-42) against Jake Woodford’s elevated fastball since last season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .205 — second Percentile.

Jake Woodford has struck out just 14% (23/165) of right-handed batters he faced since last season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (82/454) against Jake Woodford since last season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.

  
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