Mets vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 19
Mets vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 19

The New York Mets (-125) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (+105) on Wednesday, April 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Mets vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Mets are 11-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 8-10 ATS.

Mets vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 58.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 17 games (+7.80 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+7.10 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.90 Units / 51% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Chris Taylor has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.95 Units / 42% ROI)
  • David Peralta has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.65 Units / 74% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 10 games at home (+5.65 Units / 56% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.55 Units / 26% ROI)

Dodgers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Miguel Rojas 0.5 +1000 0.5 -10000
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
David Peralta 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000

Dodgers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 -110 0.5 -120
Miguel Vargas 0.5 -140 0.5 +105
Miguel Rojas 0.5 -150 0.5 +115
Freddie Freeman 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
David Peralta 0.5 -150 0.5 +115

Dodgers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +275 0.5 -400
Miguel Rojas 0.5 +300 0.5 -450
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
David Peralta 0.5 +210 0.5 -275

Dodgers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Noah Syndergaard 3.5 -140 3.5 +105
Max Scherzer 6.5 -130 6.5 +100

  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.85 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games (+3.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games (+2.27 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+2.20 Units / 17% ROI)

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games at home (+2.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.85 Units / 21% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 10-8 against the Run Line (+3.25 Units / 14.91% ROI).

  • 11-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.75 Units / 11.16% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -15.46% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.35 Units / 6.91% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 8-10 against the Run Line (-1.9 Units / -9.9% ROI).

  • 9-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.1 Units / -21.75% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 1% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.7 Units / -8.61% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 25% (11/44) against Max Scherzer this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.

Max Scherzer has allowed a slugging percentage of .588 (20 Total Bases / 34 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .281 — second Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 23% (6/26) against Max Scherzer this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .125 (4-for-32) against Max Scherzer’s non-fastballs this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — 91st Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 29 times since last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard has allowed 36 stolen bases since last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard has had third base stolen on him 7 times since last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

  
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