Pirates vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 19
Pirates vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 19

The Pittsburgh Pirates (-120) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+100) on Wednesday, April 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver.

The Pirates are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Pirates vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Pirates are 11-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 4-14 ATS.

Pirates vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 67.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.65 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+8.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Rodolfo Castro has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games (+7.05 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Carlos Santana has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.05 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • C.J. Cron has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.20 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.10 Units / 45% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Kris Bryant has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 41% ROI)

Rockies vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Austin Hedges 0.5 +675 0.5 -2500
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Rodolfo Castro 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Connor Joe 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

Rockies vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 1.5 +180 1.5 -250
Austin Hedges 0.5 -160 0.5 +125
Bryan Reynolds 1.5 +120 1.5 -160
Rodolfo Castro 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Connor Joe 0.5 -250 0.5 +190

Rockies vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +110 0.5 -145
Austin Hedges 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Rodolfo Castro 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Connor Joe 0.5 +145 0.5 -190

Rockies vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Gomber 3.5 +100 3.5 -130

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 9 away games (+9.60 Units / 93% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+7.20 Units / 79% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.75 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.75 Units / 21% ROI)

  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.15 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.90 Units / 30% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 11-7 against the Run Line (+1.7 Units / 6.69% ROI).

  • 11-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.75 Units / 41.89% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.65 Units / -8.38% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 2.26% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 4-14 against the Run Line (-10.4 Units / -53.75% ROI).

  • 5-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.5 Units / -37.04% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -5.58% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.4 Units / -2.1% ROI

Johan Oviedo has a strikeout rate of 53% (9 SO in 17 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 55% (17/31) against Johan Oviedo with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (31/54) against Johan Oviedo this season — tied for 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 92nd Percentile.

Johan Oviedo has thrown breaking pitches 66% of the time (41/62) when behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 98th Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .892 (33 Total Bases / 37 ABs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .402 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have not swung and missed (0/16) against Austin Gomber on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Austin Gomber has allowed an OPS of 1.754 (16 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .750 — first Percentile.

  
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