The Baltimore Orioles (-145) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+120) on Tuesday, April 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.

The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Orioles vs Nationals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Orioles are 9-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 9-7 ATS.

Orioles vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 63.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.65 Units / 27% ROI)
• Austin Hays has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 7 away games (+7.30 Units / 87% ROI)
• Austin Hays has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.85 Units / 58% ROI)
• Anthony Santander has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.85 Units / 34% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Over in his last 5 games (+6.60 Units / 126% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.15 Units / 30% ROI)
• Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+6.95 Units / 99% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.90 Units / 59% ROI)
• Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.25 Units / 34% ROI)
• Dominic Smith has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 51% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.60 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.45 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.35 Units / 18% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.25 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.40 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+1.55 Units / 17% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 9-7 against the Run Line (+0.2 Units / 0.91% ROI).

• 9-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 7.52% ROI
• 11-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.6 Units / 36.57% ROI
• 4-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.7 Units / -44.51% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 9-7 against the Run Line (+2.15 Units / 11.47% ROI).

• 5-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -18.13% ROI
• 8-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.65 Units / 9.43% ROI
• 6-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.6 Units / -14.69% ROI

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dean Kremer has allowed a slugging percentage of .762 (16 Total Bases / 21 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .322 — second Percentile.

Dean Kremer has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.000 (19 Total Bases / 19 ABs) on sliders this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .392 — first Percentile.

Dean Kremer has a strikeout rate of just 23% (8 SO in 34 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.

Dean Kremer has allowed a slugging percentage of .864 (19 Total Bases / 22 ABs) on breaking pitches this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .375 — 0 Percentile.

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Josiah Gray has a strike rate of just 52% (37/71) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Josiah Gray has located his fastball up for a strike just 33% (14/42) of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 60% — first Percentile.

Josiah Gray has a strike rate of just 55% (49/89) in two strike counts this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — seventh Percentile.

  
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