The San Francisco Giants (+105) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-125) on Monday, April 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.
The Marlins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+170).
The Giants vs Marlins Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 5-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 6-10 ATS.
Giants vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Giants vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 70.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 away games (+8.65 Units / 76% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.40 Units / 93% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Singles Over in his last 7 away games (+7.05 Units / 78% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.55 Units / 94% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jorge Soler has hit the Singles Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.90 Units / 47% ROI)
Marlins vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Darin Ruf | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
J.D. Davis | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 |
Marlins vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Darin Ruf | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
Jorge Soler | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
Jon Berti | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
Marlins vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Darin Ruf | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
Jorge Soler | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
Jon Berti | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
Marlins vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jesus Luzardo | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -135 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 56% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.65 Units / 11% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.40 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.65 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.65 Units / 24% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 5-9 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -33.07% ROI).
- 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -34.3% ROI
- 9-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.55 Units / 23.05% ROI
- 5-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.85 Units / -31.49% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 6-10 against the Run Line (-7.1 Units / -31.77% ROI).
- 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 2.19% ROI
- 6-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.8 Units / -21.84% ROI
- 9-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 12.64% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (349/612) against Logan Webb since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Logan Webb has struck out 42% (17/40) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 16% (7/45) against Logan Webb on elevated fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 64% of the time (1,038/1,626) vs left-handed batters since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 96th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (51/142) against Jesus Luzardo this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 96th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 46% (12/26) against Jesus Luzardo when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OBP of .600 (20 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .317 — third Percentile.