The Texas Rangers (-210) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+170) on Monday, April 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Rangers vs Royals Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 9-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 5-11 ATS.
Rangers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Rangers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 65.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.60 Units / 66% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.15 Units / 61% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+7.00 Units / 77% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+6.30 Units / 69% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+5.95 Units / 65% ROI)
Royals vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Royals vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
Royals vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
Royals vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom | 8.5 -110 | 8.5 -120 |
| Jordan Lyles | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 34% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+5.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 55% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 8-7 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 13.63% ROI
- 10-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.35 Units / 26.05% ROI
- 5-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -6 Units / -36.7% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 5-11 against the Run Line (-8.5 Units / -41.67% ROI).
- 4-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.35 Units / -39.69% ROI
- 9-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 13.24% ROI
- 6-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.9 Units / -22.35% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jacob deGrom has a strikeout rate of 41% (27 SO in 66 PAs) this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom has a strikeout rate of 68% (27 SO in 40 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom has struck out 44% (16/36) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (55/138) against Jacob deGrom this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Lyles has allowed an OPS of .723 (429 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .465 — second Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (422/831) of the time since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed an OBP of .303 (429 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .222 — second Percentile.