Guardians vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 17
Guardians vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 17

The Cleveland Guardians (-130) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+110) on Monday, April 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit.

The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Guardians vs Tigers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Guardians are 9-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 6-8 ATS.

Guardians vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 65.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+14.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.20 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Myles Straw has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Myles Straw has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.45 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.75 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 11 games (+5.85 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Matt Vierling has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Nick Maton has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.55 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 58% ROI)

Tigers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eric Haase 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Javier Baez 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Riley Greene 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Kerry Carpenter 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Steven Kwan 0.5 +1350 0.5

Tigers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eric Haase 0.5 -145 0.5 +110
Javier Baez 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Riley Greene 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Kerry Carpenter 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Steven Kwan 1.5 +190 1.5 -250

Tigers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eric Haase 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Javier Baez 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Riley Greene 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Kerry Carpenter 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Steven Kwan 0.5 +240 0.5 -350

Tigers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matthew Boyd 3.5 +100 3.5 -135
Hunter Gaddis 4.5 -105 4.5 -125

  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+4.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 away games (+3.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 9 away games (+0.85 Units / 7% ROI)

  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.25 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+3.00 Units / 27% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 7-9 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -11.22% ROI).

  • 9-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -0.47% ROI
  • 9-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.4 Units / 13.64% ROI
  • 6-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.85 Units / -21.88% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 6-8 against the Run Line (-3.55 Units / -21.45% ROI).

  • 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 9-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.65 Units / 23.62% ROI
  • 5-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.8 Units / -31.17% ROI

Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (9/68) against Hunter Gaddis on non-fastballs this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 31% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 9% (4/44) against Hunter Gaddis on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 10% (2/21) against Hunter Gaddis on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 10th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (6/49) against Hunter Gaddis on breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Matthew Boyd has walked 7 of 29 right-handed batters (24%) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.

Matthew Boyd has a strike rate of just 55% (59/107) against right-handed batters this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.

Matthew Boyd has not allowed a home run in any of the last 24.0 innings he’s appeared — Shohei Ohtani has the longest active streak at 68.0.

  
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