The Pittsburgh Pirates (+120) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (-145) on Monday, April 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.

The Rockies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Pirates vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Pirates are 9-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 4-12 ATS.

Pirates vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 65.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.50 Units / 28% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.40 Units / 55% ROI)
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.80 Units / 41% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 62% ROI)
• Carlos Santana has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.15 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Kris Bryant has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.45 Units / 44% ROI)
• Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.70 Units / 38% ROI)
• C.J. Cron has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.20 Units / 50% ROI)
• Elias Diaz has hit the Singles Over in his last 7 games (+7.10 Units / 89% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.10 Units / 41% ROI)

Rockies vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 7 away games (+7.60 Units / 97% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+6.35 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+4.95 Units / 71% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.75 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.75 Units / 37% ROI)

Rockies Best Bets Today:

• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.15 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.90 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.55 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 9-7 against the Run Line (-0.3 Units / -1.36% ROI).

• 9-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 33.84% ROI
• 7-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -8.62% ROI
• 8-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 2.81% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 4-12 against the Run Line (-8.4 Units / -48.42% ROI).

• 5-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -28.17% ROI
• 8-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -1 Units / -5.46% ROI
• 8-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -2.06% ROI

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 62% of the time (40/64) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Rich Hill has a strikeout rate of just 24% (8 SO in 33 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Rich Hill has a strikeout rate of just 12% (8 SO in 65 PAs) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (15/113) against Rich Hill this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Freeland has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 55% (302/545) of opposing batters since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — second Percentile.

28 of Kyle Freeland’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since last season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (17/119) against Kyle Freeland this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.

  
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