Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 16
Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 16

The Tampa Bay Rays (-135) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+115) on Sunday, April 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm EDT in Toronto.

The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Rays vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Rays are 13-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 8-7 ATS.

Rays vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 68.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Brandon Lowe has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.30 Units / 122% ROI)
  • Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.20 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.15 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.10 Units / 77% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.55 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+9.30 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.25 Units / 46% ROI)
  • George Springer has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+9.10 Units / 130% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.85 Units / 34% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 +1100 0.5
Christian Bethancourt 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
George Springer 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Yandy Diaz 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Brandon Lowe 0.5 +375 0.5 -700

Blue Jays vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 -140 0.5 +105
Christian Bethancourt 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
George Springer 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Yandy Diaz 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Brandon Lowe 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Blue Jays vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 +290 0.5 -400
Christian Bethancourt 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
George Springer 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Yandy Diaz 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Brandon Lowe 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Blue Jays vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shane McClanahan 5.5 +125 5.5 -160

  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.75 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.40 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.80 Units / 33% ROI)

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+5.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games (+3.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.95 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.10 Units / 13% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 12-3 against the Run Line (+9.3 Units / 51.24% ROI).

  • 13-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.75 Units / 35.66% ROI
  • 9-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.55 Units / 27.83% ROI
  • 4-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.1 Units / -36.64% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 8-7 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -3.46% ROI).

  • 10-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 13.21% ROI
  • 7-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.6 Units / -3.7% ROI
  • 7-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -5.93% ROI

Shane McClanahan has a strike rate of 68% when ahead in the count (10th highest)– 91st Percentile and 54% when behind in the count this season (third lowest among qualified SPs)– third Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (53/144) against Shane McClanahan this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 96th Percentile.

Shane McClanahan has a strikeout rate of 40% (6 SO in 15 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.

Shane McClanahan has a strike rate of 78% (36/46) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of .600 (20 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .302 — first Percentile.

Alek Manoah has thrown his changeup for a strike just 28% (9/32) of the time this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% — third Percentile.

Alek Manoah has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 45% (52/115) of the time this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.

  
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