Cubs vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 16
Cubs vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 16

The Chicago Cubs (+185) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-225) on Sunday, April 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Cubs vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Cubs are 7-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 7-8 ATS.

Cubs vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Eric Hosmer has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Patrick Wisdom has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.45 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+5.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+5.30 Units / 72% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.40 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Miguel Rojas has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games at home (+6.30 Units / 126% ROI)
  • Miguel Rojas has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games at home (+6.25 Units / 125% ROI)
  • Austin Barnes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 5 games (+6.10 Units / 106% ROI)

Dodgers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Patrick Wisdom 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Nico Hoerner 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000

Dodgers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Miguel Vargas 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Patrick Wisdom 0.5 -110 0.5 -120
Nico Hoerner 0.5 -250 0.5 +175

Dodgers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +225 0.5 -300
Patrick Wisdom 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Nico Hoerner 0.5 +280 0.5 -400

Dodgers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Drew Smyly 4.5 +100 4.5 -130
Julio Urias 5.5 -125 5.5 -105

  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.80 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.10 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 32% ROI)

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.95 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+1.15 Units / 8% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 8-5 against the Run Line (+3.25 Units / 19.29% ROI).

  • 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units / 9.25% ROI
  • 7-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.5 Units / 3.53% ROI
  • 6-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.8 Units / -12.41% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 7-8 against the Run Line (-1.1 Units / -6.85% ROI).

  • 8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -15.75% ROI
  • 8-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 8.73% ROI
  • 6-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.6 Units / -15.76% ROI

22 of Drew Smyly’s 78 breaking pitch strikeouts (28%) have been backdoor since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 98th Percentile.

Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 44% of the time (866/1,983) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 99th Percentile.

Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 49% of the time (74/150) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 47% of the time (79/169) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 99th Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Julio Urias has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (175/521) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

Julio Urias has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (19/44) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 99th Percentile.

Julio Urias has a strikeout rate of 30% (20 SO in 66 PAs) this season — 15th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 86th Percentile.

  
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