The Arizona Diamondbacks (+115) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-140) on Sunday, April 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Miami.

The Marlins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).

The Diamondbacks vs Marlins Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 8-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 6-9 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

• Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.75 Units / 62% ROI)
• Gabriel Moreno has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 39% ROI)
• Alek Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 48% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.60 Units / 53% ROI)
• Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+7.55 Units / 63% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jorge Soler has hit the Singles Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
• Jon Berti has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.90 Units / 57% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+7.40 Units / 123% ROI)
• Garrett Cooper has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 52% ROI)
• Jean Segura has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 14 games (+6.65 Units / 47% ROI)

Marlins vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.00 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.55 Units / 70% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+5.25 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 62% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.70 Units / 38% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.40 Units / 53% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in their last 4 games (+5.00 Units / 104% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.90 Units / 55% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+3.00 Units / 55% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 10-5 against the Run Line (+4.5 Units / 22.56% ROI).

• 8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 26.73% ROI
• 7-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -4.5% ROI
• 7-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -3.34% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 6-9 against the Run Line (-6.1 Units / -28.57% ROI).

• 8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 10.32% ROI
• 6-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.75 Units / -16.82% ROI
• 8-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.25 Units / 7.51% ROI

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .191 (137-for-718) against Zac Gallen since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .138 (26-for-188) against Zac Gallen when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 33% (14/42) against Zac Gallen this season — tied for 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 90th Percentile.

Zac Gallen has struck out 31% (11/35) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 90th Percentile.

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Sandy Alcantara has a strike rate of 72% (1,108/1,536) against right-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 67% — 100th Percentile.

Sandy Alcantara has thrown his changeup 35% of the time (26/75) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.

Sandy Alcantara has struck out just 9% (3/33) of right-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

  
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