The Pittsburgh Pirates (+135) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-160) on Sunday, April 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Pirates vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Pirates are 9-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 7-8 ATS.

Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• Carlos Santana has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.85 Units / 39% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.40 Units / 53% ROI)
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 14 games (+7.80 Units / 41% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 63% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.75 Units / 43% ROI)
• Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.60 Units / 55% ROI)
• Tommy Edman has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 31% ROI)
• Jordan Walker has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.30 Units / 40% ROI)
• Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+6.20 Units / 67% ROI)

Cardinals vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+7.35 Units / 59% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 6 away games (+6.60 Units / 99% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.85 Units / 53% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.75 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+3.65 Units / 61% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets Today:

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.70 Units / 82% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 65% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 54% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 1 of their last 4 games (+1.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 8-7 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -6.33% ROI).

• 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.55 Units / 42.53% ROI
• 6-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -15.34% ROI
• 8-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.6 Units / 9.58% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 7-8 against the Run Line (-2.1 Units / -11.23% ROI).

• 6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -30.42% ROI
• 4-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.9 Units / -42.59% ROI
• 10-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.4 Units / 32.05% ROI

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a swing rate of 75% (27/36) against Mitch Keller on inside fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 7% (1/15) against Mitch Keller on fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 20% (9/45) against Mitch Keller this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.

Mitch Keller has a strike rate of 68% (206/301) this season — 13th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 88th Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .420 (29-for-69) against Miles Mikolas this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .248 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .371 (13-for-35) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .173 — first Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .704 (19 Total Bases / 27 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .312 — second Percentile.

  
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