The Pittsburgh Pirates (+135) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-160) on Sunday, April 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Pirates vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Pirates are 9-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 7-8 ATS.
Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Pirates vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM
Get up to $1,000 First Bet Offer
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.40 Units / 53% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 14 games (+7.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 63% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.60 Units / 55% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+6.20 Units / 67% ROI)
Cardinals vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Austin Hedges | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
Austin Hedges | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Cardinals vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Austin Hedges | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -600 |
Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Mitch Keller | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Miles Mikolas | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+7.35 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 6 away games (+6.60 Units / 99% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.85 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+3.65 Units / 61% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.70 Units / 82% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 65% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 1 of their last 4 games (+1.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 8-7 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -6.33% ROI).
- 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.55 Units / 42.53% ROI
- 6-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -15.34% ROI
- 8-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.6 Units / 9.58% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 7-8 against the Run Line (-2.1 Units / -11.23% ROI).
- 6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -30.42% ROI
- 4-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.9 Units / -42.59% ROI
- 10-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.4 Units / 32.05% ROI
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of 75% (27/36) against Mitch Keller on inside fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 7% (1/15) against Mitch Keller on fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 20% (9/45) against Mitch Keller this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Mitch Keller has a strike rate of 68% (206/301) this season — 13th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 88th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .420 (29-for-69) against Miles Mikolas this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .248 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .371 (13-for-35) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .173 — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .704 (19 Total Bases / 27 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .312 — second Percentile.