The Philadelphia Phillies (-200) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+165) on Sunday, April 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.

The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Phillies vs Reds Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Phillies are 5-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 10-4 ATS.

Phillies vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 66.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 12 games (+13.45 Units / 85% ROI)
• Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+10.05 Units / 53% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.70 Units / 65% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.90 Units / 34% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.50 Units / 56% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.15 Units / 64% ROI)
• Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+10.10 Units / 71% ROI)
• Jason Vosler has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)
• TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.30 Units / 67% ROI)
• TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+7.90 Units / 41% ROI)

Reds vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.95 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.85 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.25 Units / 3% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.55 Units / 55% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.65 Units / 77% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.75 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.15 Units / 61% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 64% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 5-10 against the Run Line (-8.85 Units / -42.75% ROI).

• 5-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -38.15% ROI
• 8-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.3 Units / 1.79% ROI
• 7-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -9.26% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 10-4 against the Run Line (+7.55 Units / 45.35% ROI).

• 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -10.42% ROI
• 9-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.7 Units / 24.26% ROI
• 5-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.85 Units / -31.19% ROI

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .324 (11-for-34) against Aaron Nola with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .173 — third Percentile.

Aaron Nola has walked 8 of 314 batters (3%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Aaron Nola has walked 32 of 874 batters (4%) since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .333 (9-for-27) against Aaron Nola’s non-fastballs this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .226 — 11th Percentile.

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Luis Cessa has allowed a slugging percentage of .944 (51 Total Bases / 54 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: .577 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 75% (15/20) against Luis Cessa against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 0 Percentile.

Luis Cessa has a strikeout rate of just 7% (3 SO in 43 PAs) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.

  
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