The Atlanta Braves (-145) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+120) on Saturday, April 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Braves vs Royals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Braves are 10-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 4-10 ATS.
Braves vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Braves vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 63.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+7.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+6.15 Units / 123% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Over in his last 4 games (+6.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+5.75 Units / 66% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.25 Units / 61% ROI)
Royals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Matt Olson | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Sean Murphy | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
MJ Melendez | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Vaughn Grissom | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
Royals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Matt Olson | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Sean Murphy | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
MJ Melendez | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Vaughn Grissom | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Royals vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Matt Olson | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Sean Murphy | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
MJ Melendez | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Vaughn Grissom | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Royals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Bryce Elder | 3.5 -185 | 3.5 +140 |
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.55 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.20 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.75 Units / 44% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games (+0.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games (+0.45 Units / 6% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 6-8 against the Run Line (-1.9 Units / -11.28% ROI).
- 10-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.7 Units / 19.83% ROI
- 8-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.3 Units / 8.47% ROI
- 6-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -19.09% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 4-10 against the Run Line (-8.15 Units / -45.66% ROI).
- 4-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -31.07% ROI
- 8-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.35 Units / 8.71% ROI
- 6-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -17.97% ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .115 (3-for-26) against Bryce Elder’s non-fastballs this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .224 — 90th Percentile.
Bryce Elder has an ERA of 0.00 (12.1 IP) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 4.12 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .143 (3-for-21) against Bryce Elder this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 87th Percentile.
12 of Bryce Elder’s 13 strikeouts (92%) have come on non-fastballs this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 54% — 100th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
5 of Kris Bubic’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 48% (20/42) against Kris Bubic on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Kris Bubic has not allowed a HR in any of his last five starts dating back to September 18th, 2022 — John Brebbia has the longest active streak at 11.