What are the chances that Play-In Pat will continue his undefeated streak in the Play-In tournament and, more importantly, drop some dimes? Jon Metler shares two of his favorite NBA same-game parlays for Friday's games using the latest NBA odds.
In the first round of the Play-In tournament on Tuesday, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Josh Giddey combined for 63 points as the Oklahoma City Thunder defeated the New Orleans Pelicans on the road.
I won't be relying on Gilgeous-Alexander or Giddey to score points on Friday in Minnesota, however I am interested in playing some Overs on their player props.
Here are our NBA SGP picks for Friday (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook).
Friday's NBA SGP picks
| Game | Props | Combined Odds |
| Chicago Bulls vs. Miami Heat | Beverley 4+ assists, Caruso 4+ assists | +1489 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Minnesota Timberwolves | Gilgeous-Alexander 6+ assists, Giddey Over 8.5 rebounds | +345 |
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Bulls vs. Heat odds
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NBA SGP predictions: Bulls vs. Heat
In our NBA best bets, I explained why I placed a straight bet on Beverley Over 2.5 assists at +106 with Caesars. If you're clicking on this article, you're probably looking for bigger plus money odds on your wagers, so let's do it.
Against the Heat, Beverley is projected to drop 3.1 dimes, so the alternate total of four-plus assists can be priced at +165. There's almost a doll ar difference between what we believe this prop should be trading at and what it's currently trading at on FanDuel.
As with Beverley, Caruso also made our NBA best bets with a straight bet, but with the pricing we're seeing on Friday, we can also go alternate line shopping on Caruso for our same-game parlay.
Caruso is projected to have 2.9 assists against the Heat, which isn't quite the four dimes we need, but check out the price. We can price Caruso at +210 to have four assists with this projection, but FanDuel is trading it at +350.
I'm not trying to predict the future, just trying to buy solid prices, and Caruso checks that box.
NBA SGP predictions: Thunder vs. Timberwolves
One of my favorite player props on Friday is Gilgeous-Alexander going over his assist total, and with FanDu el trading Gilgeous-Alexander Over 4.5 assists at (-138), which is among the best prices on the market, we're able to secure a solid alternate Over price on Gilgeous-Alexander via FanDuel.
Since the Thunder guard is projected to drop 5.9 assists, I'm not even sure if you can consider playing Gilgeous-Alexander to have six-plus assists as an alternate Over. We can price Gilgeous-Alexander at -110 to have six or more assists using this projection, however he's currently trading at +150 on FanDuel.
We're making this same-game parlay at FanDuel, which is why I have included Giddey Over 8.5 rebounds since FanDuel offers the best price on this prop among all the sports betting sites. At PointsBet, Giddey has a juice as high as -140 for Over 8.5 rebounds while DraftKings has him at -125.
With a projected rebound total of 9.4 and a price of -113 at Fa nDuel, I'll put this prop in the same-game parlay all day. This prop can be priced at -130 for Giddey to go Over the total based on this projection, so you can understand why we would only include this leg of the parlay in a same-game parlay on FanDuel. In this scenario, you wouldn't want to bet on Giddey Over 8.5 rebounds on PointsBet at -140 because there's no edge associated with that price.
NBA player prop picks made 04/14/2023 at 10:00 a.m. ET.
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