The Minnesota Twins (+150) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-185) on Friday, April 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Twins vs Yankees Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Twins are 9-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 8-5 ATS.
Twins vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Twins vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.65 Units / 52% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games (+8.40 Units / 87% ROI)
- Nick Gordon has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- Nick Gordon has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+7.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.15 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 4 games at home (+5.20 Units / 130% ROI)
Yankees vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nick Gordon | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Byron Buxton | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
Jose Trevino | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -550 |
Yankees vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nick Gordon | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
Byron Buxton | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Jose Trevino | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Yankees vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nick Gordon | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
Byron Buxton | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Jose Trevino | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
Yankees vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nestor Cortes | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 3 games (+3.05 Units / 76% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.95 Units / 29% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.90 Units / 10% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 9-4 against the Run Line (+6.8 Units / 46.1% ROI).
- 9-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.95 Units / 29.55% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -26.71% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.6 Units / 18.57% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 8-5 against the Run Line (+4.95 Units / 36.13% ROI).
- 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units / 7.22% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -2 Units / -13.65% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 3.23% ROI
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .400 (10-for-25) against Louie Varland when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: .243 — fifth Percentile.
Hitters swung at 66% of Louie Varland’s pitches (86/131) with two-strikes over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 90th Percentile.
Louie Varland had a strike rate of 68% (280/411) over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 91st Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nestor Cortes has thrown elevated pitches 58% of the time (65/112) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Nestor Cortes allowed a slugging percentage of just .250 (15 Total Bases / 60 ABs) when he was behind in the count in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .582 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .129 (15-for-116) against Nestor Cortes on low fastballs since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .273 — 99th Percentile.
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