The Cleveland Guardians (-155) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+130) on Friday, April 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Guardians vs Nationals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Guardians are 7-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 7-6 ATS.
Guardians vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Guardians vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 64.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+12.90 Units / 108% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+11.45 Units / 114% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.75 Units / 71% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.15 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+5.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+5.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.65 Units / 34% ROI)
Nationals vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Josh Naylor | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
Will Brennan | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Steven Kwan | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
Nationals vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Andres Gimenez | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -250 |
Josh Naylor | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
Will Brennan | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Jose Ramirez | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
Steven Kwan | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -210 |
Nationals vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Josh Naylor | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
Will Brennan | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Steven Kwan | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Nationals vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Cal Quantrill | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +120 |
Trevor Williams | 2.5 -160 | 2.5 +120 |
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.75 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+3.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+2.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.20 Units / 26% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.20 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.40 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+3.30 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 2 of their last 3 games (+2.00 Units / 58% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 6-7 against the Run Line (-0.9 Units / -5.42% ROI).
- 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 1.26% ROI
- 7-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.4 Units / 9.72% ROI
- 5-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -18.66% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 7-6 against the Run Line (+1.1 Units / 7.14% ROI).
- 4-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.8 Units / -21.54% ROI
- 6-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.65 Units / 4.55% ROI
- 5-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units / -9.79% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
31 of Cal Quantrill’s 105 breaking pitch strikeouts (29%) have been backdoor since the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of just 15% (115/778) against Cal Quantrill in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 33% (134 SO in 406 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.
16 of Cal Quantrill’s 58 breaking pitch strikeouts (28%) were backdoor in 2022 — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 96th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Trevor Williams has allowed a slugging percentage of .700 (42 Total Bases / 60 ABs) on breaking pitches since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .328 — 0 Percentile.
Trevor Williams struck out just 9% (13/148) of left-handed batters he faced in 2022 — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Trevor Williams has struck out just 9% (16/170) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.