The Cleveland Guardians (-155) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+130) on Friday, April 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.

The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Guardians vs Nationals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Guardians are 7-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 7-6 ATS.

Guardians vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 64.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+12.90 Units / 108% ROI)
• Josh Naylor has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+11.45 Units / 114% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.85 Units / 34% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.75 Units / 71% ROI)
• Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.15 Units / 42% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+5.45 Units / 36% ROI)
• Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.40 Units / 45% ROI)
• Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+5.15 Units / 26% ROI)
• Dominic Smith has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 42% ROI)
• Jeimer Candelario has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.65 Units / 34% ROI)

Nationals vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.75 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+3.00 Units / 67% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+2.20 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.20 Units / 26% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.45 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.20 Units / 57% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.40 Units / 64% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+3.30 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 2 of their last 3 games (+2.00 Units / 58% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 6-7 against the Run Line (-0.9 Units / -5.42% ROI).

• 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 1.26% ROI
• 7-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.4 Units / 9.72% ROI
• 5-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -18.66% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 7-6 against the Run Line (+1.1 Units / 7.14% ROI).

• 4-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.8 Units / -21.54% ROI
• 6-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.65 Units / 4.55% ROI
• 5-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units / -9.79% ROI

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

31 of Cal Quantrill’s 105 breaking pitch strikeouts (29%) have been backdoor since the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of just 15% (115/778) against Cal Quantrill in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 33% (134 SO in 406 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.

16 of Cal Quantrill’s 58 breaking pitch strikeouts (28%) were backdoor in 2022 — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 96th Percentile.

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Trevor Williams has allowed a slugging percentage of .700 (42 Total Bases / 60 ABs) on breaking pitches since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .328 — 0 Percentile.

Trevor Williams struck out just 9% (13/148) of left-handed batters he faced in 2022 — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.

Trevor Williams has struck out just 9% (16/170) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

  
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