Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 12
Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 12

The Detroit Tigers (+220) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-275) on Wednesday, April 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+110).

The Tigers vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Tigers are 2-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 6-5 ATS.

Tigers vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+6.95 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Matt Vierling has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.50 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+8.85 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+8.00 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.80 Units / 130% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
George Springer 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Matt Chapman 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Brandon Belt 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

Blue Jays vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -200 0.5 +155
George Springer 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Matt Chapman 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Brandon Belt 0.5 -135 0.5 +100

Blue Jays vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
George Springer 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Matt Chapman 0.5 +115 0.5 -155
Brandon Belt 0.5 +200 0.5 -275

Blue Jays vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eduardo Rodriguez 3.5 -150 3.5 +115

  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 away games (+2.40 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 2 of their last 4 away games (+0.70 Units / 17% ROI)

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.25 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.30 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.35 Units / 20% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 2-8 against the Run Line (-7.8 Units / -65% ROI).

  • 2-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -36% ROI
  • 7-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.8 Units / 34.55% ROI
  • 3-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -42.53% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 6-5 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -3.99% ROI).

  • 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 15.6% ROI
  • 7-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 21.85% ROI
  • 4-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -4 Units / -32.39% ROI

Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (19/138) against Eduardo Rodriguez on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents had a chase percentage of just 15% (8/54) against Eduardo Rodriguez in late innings in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 6% (2/33) against Eduardo Rodriguez this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 33% (257/770) against Eduardo Rodriguez with two-strikes since the 2021 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 40% — second Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a chase percentage of 39% (570/1,446) against Kevin Gausman in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has allowed an OBP of just .038 (26 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 98th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 42% (264/630) against Kevin Gausman since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

  
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