The Miami Marlins (+155) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-190) on Wednesday, April 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Marlins vs Phillies Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Marlins are 5-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 4-7 ATS.
Marlins vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Marlins vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+9.10 Units / 65% ROI)
- Jorge Soler has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.50 Units / 77% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 68% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.45 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryson Stott has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games (+9.30 Units / 113% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games (+8.85 Units / 85% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+7.50 Units / 125% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.70 Units / 67% ROI)
Phillies vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jorge Soler | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Jon Berti | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
Phillies vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jorge Soler | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Garrett Cooper | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Jon Berti | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
Phillies vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jorge Soler | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Jon Berti | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -500 |
Phillies vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Edward Cabrera | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Zack Wheeler | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.45 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 94% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 2 of their last 3 games (+1.00 Units / 23% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.90 Units / 21% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 4-8 against the Run Line (-7.4 Units / -40.88% ROI).
- 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -15.21% ROI
- 6-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.55 Units / 4.21% ROI
- 5-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.75 Units / -13.11% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 4-7 against the Run Line (-4.8 Units / -32.88% ROI).
- 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -30.53% ROI
- 6-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.55 Units / 4.47% ROI
- 5-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -11.34% ROI
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Edward Cabrera has a strike rate of just 51% (87/170) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has walked 13 of 35 batters (37%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 27% (31/116) against Edward Cabrera in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has walked 46 of 326 batters (14%) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.4 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season (193 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 80.4
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.2 MPH against his fastballs since the 2021 season (615 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 90.4
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 79.4 MPH on inside pitches since the 2020 season (576 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: 85.4