Royals vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 12
Royals vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 12

The Kansas City Royals (+140) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-165) on Wednesday, April 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.

The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Royals vs Rangers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Royals are 3-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 6-5 ATS.

Royals vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Royals vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+5.65 Units / 113% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 11 games (+5.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Nicky Lopez has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Hunter Dozier has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.95 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 18% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+7.45 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the RBIs Over in his last 4 games at home (+7.25 Units / 181% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+7.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Robbie Grossman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.20 Units / 98% ROI)

Rangers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nate Lowe 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Adolis Garcia 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Jonah Heim 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
Brad Miller 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
Joshua Jung 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200

Rangers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nate Lowe 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Adolis Garcia 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Jonah Heim 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Brad Miller 0.5 -160 0.5 +120
Joshua Jung 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Rangers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nate Lowe 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Adolis Garcia 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Jonah Heim 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Brad Miller 0.5 +175 0.5 -225
Joshua Jung 0.5 +150 0.5 -200

Rangers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nathan Eovaldi 5.5 -150 5.5 +110
Brad Keller 4.5 +125 4.5 -160

  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.85 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.90 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.10 Units / 2% ROI)

  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in their last 3 games (+3.75 Units / 109% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 3 games (+3.25 Units / 78% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 3-9 against the Run Line (-7.7 Units / -51.51% ROI).

  • 3-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -39.58% ROI
  • 6-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.65 Units / -4.89% ROI
  • 6-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -4.2% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 6-5 against the Run Line (+0.3 Units / 2.11% ROI).

  • 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 13.79% ROI
  • 7-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.55 Units / 20.48% ROI
  • 4-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -29.24% ROI

Brad Keller has a strike rate of just 45% (17/38) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Brad Keller has struck out just 8% (2/24) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.

Brad Keller has a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (22/44) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 29% (11/38) against Brad Keller when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opposing hitters have a miss rate of just 6% (1/17) against Nathan Eovaldi when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of just 15% (26/174) versus Nathan Eovaldi on non-fastballs in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (19/134) against Nathan Eovaldi since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.

  
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