The Kansas City Royals (+140) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-165) on Wednesday, April 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Royals vs Rangers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Royals are 3-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 6-5 ATS.
Royals vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Royals vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+5.65 Units / 113% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 11 games (+5.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Nicky Lopez has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 66% ROI)
- Hunter Dozier has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+7.45 Units / 93% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the RBIs Over in his last 4 games at home (+7.25 Units / 181% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+7.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.20 Units / 98% ROI)
Rangers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nate Lowe | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Jonah Heim | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
Brad Miller | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
Joshua Jung | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Rangers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nate Lowe | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Adolis Garcia | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Jonah Heim | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Brad Miller | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Joshua Jung | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Rangers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nate Lowe | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Jonah Heim | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Brad Miller | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Joshua Jung | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Rangers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nathan Eovaldi | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +110 |
Brad Keller | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.10 Units / 2% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in their last 3 games (+3.75 Units / 109% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 3 games (+3.25 Units / 78% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 3-9 against the Run Line (-7.7 Units / -51.51% ROI).
- 3-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -39.58% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.65 Units / -4.89% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -4.2% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 6-5 against the Run Line (+0.3 Units / 2.11% ROI).
- 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 13.79% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.55 Units / 20.48% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -29.24% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brad Keller has a strike rate of just 45% (17/38) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Brad Keller has struck out just 8% (2/24) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Brad Keller has a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (22/44) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 29% (11/38) against Brad Keller when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of just 6% (1/17) against Nathan Eovaldi when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 15% (26/174) versus Nathan Eovaldi on non-fastballs in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (19/134) against Nathan Eovaldi since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.