The San Diego Padres (+115) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-140) on Tuesday, April 11, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Padres vs Mets Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Padres are 6-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 7-4 ATS.
Padres vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Padres vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Austin Nola has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 away games (+4.90 Units / 104% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+4.50 Units / 112% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 5 of his last 8 away games (+2.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Wil Myers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 3 of his last 5 away games (+1.15 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Hits Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.50 Units / 110% ROI)
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Mark Vientos has hit the Singles Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+1.40 Units / 35% ROI)
Mets vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Starling Marte | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Austin Nola | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Tommy Pham | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Mark Canha | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Mets vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Starling Marte | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Austin Nola | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Tommy Pham | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Mark Canha | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mets vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Starling Marte | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
Austin Nola | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Tommy Pham | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Mark Canha | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Mets vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
David Peterson | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
Ryan Weathers | 2.5 -175 | 2.5 +130 |
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.05 Units / 66% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+4.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.80 Units / 22% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.37 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 55% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.05 Units / 56% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 6-5 against the Run Line (+0.1 Units / 0.66% ROI).
- 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -8.36% ROI
- 6-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.35 Units / 2.8% ROI
- 5-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units / -11.91% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 7-4 against the Run Line (+4.4 Units / 34.11% ROI).
- 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.35% ROI
- 6-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.5 Units / 4.1% ROI
- 5-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -12.5% ROI
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Weathers has thrown his changeup 53% of the time (17/32) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Ryan Weathers has induced opposing hitters to ground into 1 double play in 3 opportunities (33%) this season — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 96th Percentile.
Ryan Weathers has thrown his changeup 39% of the time (28/72) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total CH; League Avg: 14% — 98th Percentile.
Ryan Weathers has located his pitches away 58% of the time (52/90) this season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 94th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Peterson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 33% (10/30) of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
David Peterson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 51% (203/398) of opposing batters since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
David Peterson has a strike rate of just 59% (949/1,617) against right-handed batters since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
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