The New York Yankees (-175) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (+145) on Tuesday, April 11, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland.

The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Yankees vs Guardians Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Yankees are 6-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 5-6 ATS.

Yankees vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 63.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Josh Donaldson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.50 Units / 99% ROI)
• DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 away games (+4.00 Units / 30% ROI)
• Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.65 Units / 122% ROI)
• Oswaldo Cabrera has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 77% ROI)
• Oswaldo Cabrera has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+1.15 Units / 37% ROI)
• Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+1.10 Units / 37% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+1.05 Units / 33% ROI)
• Bryan Lavastida has hit the Singles Under in 2 of his last 3 games (+0.50 Units / 11% ROI)

Guardians vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.70 Units / 64% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 56% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.25 Units / 51% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.65 Units / 33% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+3.40 Units / 24% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.25 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 75% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.80 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.85 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.20 Units / 2% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 7-3 against the Run Line (+5.95 Units / 56.13% ROI).

• 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 5.23% ROI
• 4-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.85 Units / -25% ROI
• 6-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.75 Units / 16.51% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 5-6 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -5.76% ROI).

• 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 16.3% ROI
• 6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.55 Units / 12.7% ROI
• 4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.5 Units / -20.83% ROI

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Gerrit Cole has struck out 46% (15/33) of left-handed batters he faced — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

51% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts came on 97+ MPH fastballs in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 14% (5/35) against Gerrit Cole on low breaking pitches this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — first Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has a strikeout rate of 42% (19 SO in 45 PAs) this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (6/41) against Hunter Gaddis this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — eighth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .115 (3-for-26) against Hunter Gaddis’ non-fastballs this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .215 — 92nd Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (12/74) against Hunter Gaddis this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.

  
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