The Kansas City Royals (+230) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-300) on Tuesday, April 11, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).
The Royals vs Rangers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Royals are 3-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 5-5 ATS.
Royals vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Royals vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 65% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eli White has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Brad Miller has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Eli White has hit the Hits Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.20 Units / 39% ROI)
Rangers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Joshua Jung | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Rangers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Joshua Jung | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Rangers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Joshua Jung | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Rangers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Lyles | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.40 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+1.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+1.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.90 Units / 26% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.60 Units / 17% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 3-8 against the Run Line (-6.7 Units / -48.03% ROI).
- 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.75 Units / -34.09% ROI
- 5-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.65 Units / -13.47% ROI
- 6-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 5.02% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 5-5 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -5.49% ROI).
- 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 9.13% ROI
- 6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.55 Units / 13.6% ROI
- 4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -21.6% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .243 (88-for-362) against Jordan Lyles with two-strikes in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .156 — second Percentile.
Jordan Lyles allowed a slugging percentage of .417 (151 Total Bases / 362 ABs) with two-strikes in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — second Percentile.
Jordan Lyles had a strike rate of just 60% (540/893) in two strike counts in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — second Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed 16 home runs with two-strikes since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jacob deGrom has a strikeout rate of 46% (18 SO in 39 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom has a strikeout rate of 75% (18 SO in 24 PAs) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
61% of Jacob deGrom’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.