The Detroit Tigers (+200) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-250) on Wednesday, April 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston.

The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Tigers vs Astros Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Tigers are 2-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 2-4 ATS.

Tigers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 79.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Austin Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
• Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
• Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Eric Haase has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
• Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.30 Units / 77% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.20 Units / 72% ROI)
• David Hensley has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
• Korey Lee has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 41% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.90 Units / 195% ROI)
• J.J. Matijevic has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games (+3.45 Units / 173% ROI)

Astros vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 87 of their last 167 games (+15.70 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 55 of their last 98 games (+8.50 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in their last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 86 away games (+0.70 Units / 1% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 86 away games (+0.30 Units / 0% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 102 of their last 181 games (+29.30 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 102 of their last 181 games (+26.75 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 108 of their last 181 games (+21.55 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 119 of their last 181 games (+17.70 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 95 of their last 181 games (+12.45 Units / 6% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 2-3 against the Run Line (-1.5 Units / -26.32% ROI).

• 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 28% ROI
• 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 14.41% ROI
• 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -22.94% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 2-4 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -28.03% ROI).

• 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -54.75% ROI
• 5-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 61.07% ROI
• 1-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.45 Units / -66.92% ROI

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 13% (2/15) against Eduardo Rodriguez this season — tied for 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 12th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (18/133) against Eduardo Rodriguez on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 0 Percentile.

Eduardo Rodriguez has located his fastball inside 65% of the time (24/37) this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 36% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents had a chase percentage of just 15% (8/54) against Eduardo Rodriguez in late innings in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Cristian Javier has a strike rate of 87% (33/38) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 57% (16/28) against Cristian Javier this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Cristian Javier has struck out 40% (109/274) of right-handed batters he faced since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.

  
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