The New York Mets (+110) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-135) on Wednesday, April 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Mets vs Brewers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Mets are 3-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 4-1 ATS.

Mets vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 57.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Francisco Lindor has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Brett Baty has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 away games (+2.95 Units / 86% ROI)
• Jeff McNeil has hit the RBIs Over in his last away game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
• Starling Marte has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 71% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Kolten Wong has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Andrew McCutchen has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 100% ROI)
• Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+3.00 Units / 32% ROI)
• Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.65 Units / 120% ROI)
• Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 57% ROI)

Brewers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 91 of their last 171 games (+18.05 Units / 7% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 91 of their last 171 games (+10.40 Units / 5% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 91 of their last 171 games (+10.00 Units / 5% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 95 of their last 171 games (+7.59 Units / 4% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 105 of their last 171 games (+2.30 Units / 1% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 90 of their last 164 games (+8.10 Units / 4% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 83 games at home (+7.25 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 44 of their last 83 games at home (+7.25 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 83 games at home (+1.95 Units / 2% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 3-3 against the Run Line (+0.25 Units / 3.47% ROI).

• 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -9.03% ROI
• 3-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -2.99% ROI
• 3-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -1.54% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 4-1 against the Run Line (+4.3 Units / 71.67% ROI).

• 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.95 Units / 51.3% ROI
• 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.65 Units / 11.11% ROI
• 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -21.36% ROI

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

David Peterson had a strike rate of just 59% (875/1,491) against right-handed batters in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 69% (11/16) against David Peterson this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 37% (116/317) against David Peterson on changeups since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 52% — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .381 (8-for-21) against David Peterson this season — 12th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .250 — eighth Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Corbin Burnes located his fastball inside 71% of the time (168/236) in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has thrown low pitches 67% of the time (1,182/1,765) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes threw fastballs down 64% of the time (151/236) in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

  
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