Rays vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 5
Rays vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 5

The Tampa Bay Rays (-250) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+200) on Wednesday, April 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Washington.

The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+110).

The Rays vs Nationals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Rays are 5-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 1-4 ATS.

Rays vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 65.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Francisco Mejia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Ji-Man Choi has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.75 Units / 138% ROI)
  • Christian Bethancour has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.30 Units / 110% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Keibert Ruiz has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Yadiel Hernandez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+4.10 Units / 205% ROI)
  • Alex Call has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+2.80 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Israel Pineda has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.10 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Cesar Hernandez has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)

Nationals vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Mejia 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
Joey Meneses 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Dominic Smith 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Jose Siri 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200

Nationals vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Mejia 1.5 +195 1.5 -250
Joey Meneses 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Dominic Smith 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Jose Siri 0.5 -175 0.5 +135

Nationals vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Mejia 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Joey Meneses 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Dominic Smith 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Jose Siri 0.5 +220 0.5 -300

Nationals vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Patrick Corbin 3.5 +115 3.5 -150

  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 81 of their last 169 games (+8.90 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 92 of their last 168 games (+4.28 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 169 games (+3.35 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 86 of their last 169 games (+1.45 Units / 1% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 57 away games (+0.65 Units / 1% ROI)

  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 56 of their last 92 games (+15.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in their last 1 games (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 5-0 against the Run Line (+5.15 Units / 96.26% ROI).

  • 5-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 50.51% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 1-4 against the Run Line (-3.1 Units / -59.62% ROI).

  • 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -49% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -2.7% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -1.83% ROI

Opponents batted just .194 (116-for-597) against Shane McClanahan in 2022 — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 93rd Percentile.

Shane McClanahan allowed an OBP of just .246 (639 PA’s) in 2022 — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 97th Percentile.

Shane McClanahan has allowed an OPS of just .559 (663 PA’s) since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .664 — 97th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .126 (44-for-348) against Shane McClanahan with two-strikes in 2022 — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .156 — 93rd Percentile.

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents batted .363 (110-for-303) against Patrick Corbin on the road in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 0 Percentile.

Patrick Corbin allowed a slugging percentage of .569 (128 Total Bases / 225 ABs) on non-fastballs in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .367 — 0 Percentile.

Patrick Corbin had an ERA of 7.75 (67.1 IP) on the road in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 4.02 — 0 Percentile.

  
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