The Chicago Cubs (-115) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-105) on Wednesday, April 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Cubs vs Reds Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 2-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 3-2 ATS.
Cubs vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cubs vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 79.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Under in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nelson Velazquez has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Spencer Steer has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Nick Senzel has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Michael Siani has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Stuart Fairchild has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 167 games (+11.65 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 88 of their last 165 games (+6.70 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 83 away games (+4.75 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 83 away games (+3.80 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 70 of their last 137 games (+0.90 Units / 1% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 44 of their last 77 games at home (+10.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 84 of their last 167 games (+0.10 Units / 0% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 2-3 against the Run Line (-1.45 Units / -23.39% ROI).
- 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -21.74% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.65 Units / 11.61% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -25% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 3-2 against the Run Line (+1.55 Units / 26.05% ROI).
- 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 9.76% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.85 Units / 15.45% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -22.73% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 75% (9/12) against Marcus Stroman this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 38% of Marcus Stroman’s pitches (11/29) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% — second Percentile.
Marcus Stroman threw his curveball 40% of the time (431/1,073) against right-handed batters in 2022 — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 42% (15/36) against Marcus Stroman this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Greene has a strikeout rate of 44% (8 SO in 18 PAs) this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has thrown 530 fastballs at 100+ MPH since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has an average fastball velocity of 100.4 MPH this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 93.6 — 100th Percentile.