The Detroit Tigers (+220) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-275) on Tuesday, April 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.

The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).

The Tigers vs Astros Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Tigers are 1-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 2-3 ATS.

Tigers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 75.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.

Bet now on Tigers vs Astros and all games with BetMGM

Get up to $1,000 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Austin Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
• Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
• Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Eric Haase has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
• Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.30 Units / 77% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.20 Units / 72% ROI)
• David Hensley has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
• Korey Lee has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 41% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.90 Units / 195% ROI)
• J.J. Matijevic has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games (+3.45 Units / 173% ROI)

Astros vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 87 of their last 166 games (+16.70 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 43 away games (+7.75 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.95 Units / 41% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 102 of their last 180 games (+29.30 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 102 of their last 180 games (+27.75 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 108 of their last 180 games (+23.20 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 119 of their last 180 games (+20.45 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 95 of their last 180 games (+13.80 Units / 7% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 1-3 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units / -56.38% ROI).

• 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -23.75% ROI
• 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -4.6% ROI
• 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.25 Units / -5.62% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 2-3 against the Run Line (-0.5 Units / -9.52% ROI).

• 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -39.76% ROI
• 4-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +3 Units / 56.07% ROI
• 1-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -61.06% ROI

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Matt Manning has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 4 double plays in 124 opportunities (3%) since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 11% — first Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 21% (121/563) against Matt Manning since the 2021 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 28% — third Percentile.

Matt Manning has struck out just 15% (45/308) of left-handed batters he faced since the 2021 season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 23% — sixth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (62/311) against Matt Manning with runners in scoring position since the 2021 season — tied for 13th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 10th Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of 67% (372/555) against Framber Valdez in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 68% (119/174) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.

Framber Valdez located 48% of his pitches inside (394/825) with two-strikes in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

  
Read Full Article